Sunday, November 23, 2014

Commerce trends are the primary drivers of innovation in retail payment


Commerce trends are the primary drivers of innovation in retail payment.

Folks it has been several weeks since my last post, and I continue to learn a lot about the evolution of payment industry. Last few weeks I was fortunate to be a part of AFP Conference (Association of Financial Professionals) in Washington DC and Money 20/20 in Las Vegas. It was simply amazing to meet many professionals, evangelists and silicon valley disruptors, all working to make Mobile Payments – safe, cheap and relevant to the times we live in.  I got to speak at AFP Conference on the technology trends that impact Payment industry. At Money 20/20 I got to meet many Mobile Payment Players – old and New, with many new value proposition around Bitcoin, P2P payments and retail payments. I was refreshingly surprised to see interest around Bitcoins, cyber currency and Block chain technology with a large participation from startups and established players in the Bitcoin network, exchanges and consortiums. I am personally very interested in Bitcoin technology and the network while still a skeptic around the currency itself.
            So while a lot is going on in the payment world, in this weeks post I would like to focus on retail payment trends as we approach the biggest shopping event of the year – Turkey Day shopping or Black Friday.  I find these noteworthy shopping events interesting as they not only set the trend but also set the tone of what is to come in future. I firmly believe that it is these commerce trends that are primary drivers of the innovation in retail payment industry. I have listed a few anecdotal evidence below as news worthy announcements. These and many such trends indicate that the focus is shifting from the issuers, rewards and payment network to the end consumer and merchants. The biggest of all is the emergence of “Contextual Payment” which is driving the dynamicity around retail payments technologies and systems. For a consumer it is the device, location services and mobile Wallet or a payment instrument. For enterprises such as retailers, Banks or a Merchant, the story is not that simple.  The growing diversity of payment acceptance such as in-store, in-App, online, social media, cyber currency puts the focus back to consumer that choose a certain way to buy and pay and merchants that support technology for an Omni channel payment experience.
             This weeks blog posts I will attempt to discuss my hypothesis that Commerce trends are the primary drivers of innovation in retail payment, by discussing the e/m –commerce trends, technological evolution  and it’s impact on retail, banking and payment industry. My goal is to  discuss the inflection point that described the intersection of  retail industry and payment industry.

Here are a few news worthy announcements:

1.     Beating the numbers - Alibaba announced that total sales on Singles’ Day — China’s largest online shopping festival — reached a record $9.3 billion, And Alipay, its Paypal-like affiliate, saw the volume of payments processed increase by 60 percent to reach $5.8 billion across the entire day.
2.     mPayment as a Value Add Service for Merchants : Square Register - cloud-based point-of-sale tool to track sales, and manage items and inventory. This point-of-sale software will be soon available to businesses worldwide
3.     Mobile Shopping and mCommerce: According to IBM Digital Analytics Benchmark hub predictions, more than half of all online shopping on Thanksgiving, roughly 53 percent will come from a mobile device, up 23 percent year-over-year. Mobile sales are also expected to grow, reaching 28 percent of all Thanksgiving online sales, an increase of more than 9 percent over 2013.
4.     mWallet Wars - Google is to give away $100,000 to users of its mobile wallet who recruit a friend to the platform, as it prepares to do battle with Apple Pay and Softcard for market share over the all-important US holiday season.
5.     Competitive pressures  and Coupon Fraud – Fake Amazon pages created by consumers to get cheap electronics at Walmart, due to Walmarts price match policy.
6.     Bitcoin is gaining momentum - PayPal can now easily start accepting payments from customers that use Bitcoin  - entering the world of cyber/digital currency. And joining the likes of Amazon, Overstock and Tiger Direct to name a few.

Role on Mobile Wallet and battle for Mobile Payments
ApplePay has certainly been the focus of conversation around important of a slick payment instrument. AppplePay has been a stunning  success and has certainly stirred up the mobile wallet wars.  And while we all understand the concept of Mobile wallet, this concept that is simple for the consumer can get quite complicated for industries such as retail and banking. The notion of digital wallet is very confusing. The market of digital wallets is fragmented and changing rapidly. The innovations to the likes of Google wallet, Square, and PayPal to name a few have truly disrupted the traditional payment schemes such as cash or bankcards.  This led to digital wallet frenzy where every bank, including payment processors such as a Visa and MasterCard has launched their own version of Digital or Mobile Wallet. So which is an Ideal Mobile/Digital wallet? The Answer happens to be in our own wallet. An ideal wallet should be

a.    Customizable – Like our own wallets
b.    Does more than Pay (such as a Person to person, like cash,  and have the ability to store other credit or cash instruments)
c.    Work Anywhere (open frameworks technology implied),
d.    Inclusive of rewards management – either links the apps, or drive the reward management from the back end systems
e.    Simple, Secure and Easy to use – Simple and easy to encourage adoption, Secure to institute trust.



Key Battleground for mobile Payments include:

1.     Proximity Technology – With ApplePay endorsing NFC technology, there still remain a competing battle for other technologies that include QR Code, Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) and Option for in-App purchases.
2.     POS Support – The question for POS vendors is not just survival but reaction of  modular system that can evolve with the Mobile proximity payment options. One school of though suggests using the same technology that is in hands of the consumer i.e Mobile devices, such as use of Tablets as a POS option.
3.     Payment credential Storage or mIdentity  This includes the security or identity technology. For instance ApplePay has a  secure element that stores a payment token issues by a bank or a network, Google or Android has a HCE or Host Card emulation alternative. Other competing technologies include  SIM Based, MicroSD etc. The idea is to ensure that the payment identity is secured either locally on the device or in the cloud and is unlocked with various 2nd factor authentication mechanisms.
4.     Payment Account - This is where things get  interesting as the battle for the “Account of choice” ensues.  This includes credit cards, open and closed loop accounts, loyalty accounts, Mobile network provider accounts etc. The goal of the every player in payment value chain is to maximize benefits  fir themselves and the end users.
5.     Interface and Interaction technologies – These sets of technologies sets the focus on the consumer, where the interface or Interaction(in case of wearable) will set the tone on usage and popularity. Easier to use payment instrument with implied security tends to win the mindset and ecosystem share. ApplePay is a  good example of simplified security and ease of use.


Conclusion:
            Mobile Payment and payment related technology landscape is in constant state of flux. Over past several years’ number of innovations in retail payments have emerged and continue to evolve. These innovating that affect the retail and banking industry along with the retail payment industry. The core objective of any players in this ecosystem is to influence the users in choosing the payment instrument and by shaping the payment experience  with comfort of ease of use, assurance of secure identity and transaction and lures of offers and loyalty.  While e/mCommerce trends are the primary drivers of innovation in retail payment, the focus is primarily driven by convenience, experience and speed of the payment processing. There are a  few  imperatives that can be concluded with the emerging payments trends, some of them are:
a.     Only a handful of payment innovations thus far have had an impact of the payment industry. ( NFC for instance with ApplePay and Android HCE)
b.     Many technological option piggy back on the exiting retail payment systems ( most proximity payments rely on credit/debit rails)
c.      While most innovations have a potential for a  global reach,  there is an emergence of regional payment options that dominate the regional market. ( Proximity payments in developed economy and Mobile Money ( like mPesa) in emerging economies)
d.     Continued focus on speed of payment processing,  this manifest itself in form of faster settlement or faster payment initialization. ( e.g. Stand-in services by PayPal, or batched approval for micro payments such as bPay)
e.     While developed economies focus on speed, engagement experience and contextual value add services, the emerging economies  see financial  inclusion as a primary driven in development and evolution of regional payment blocks. (BKash, Tigo, mPesa etc. are examples that has enabled opportunities for financial participation in untapped markets)
f.      New entrants and lowering the barriers to entry into payment ecosystem.  The markets dominated by Banks, payment processors and payment Networks; see a flood of new entrants. These new entrants such as Dwolla, Ripple, Boku, Zong etc. not only provide technology innovation for low cost of transaction, faster processing, settlement etc., but also provide a competitive landscape to the seasoned players with long history and maturity in payment business.
   And more…


References and Interesting reads: